Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Head-to-Head & Betting Tips

Union Berlin host RB Leipzig in Germany. Bundesliga action on November 21st, 2026 , kicking off at 14:30 UTC at An der alten Forsterei. The bookmakers make RB Leipzig favourites, priced around 1.58 to win.

Taking the bookmaker margin out of the prices (5.26 / 4.62 / 1.58), the market implies roughly 18% for a Union Berlin win, 21% for a draw and 61% for a RB Leipzig win.

Union Berlin have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 recorded matches, scoring in 6 and conceding in 9 of them (1.0 scored and 3.2 conceded per game). Their latest result was a 0–2 away defeat to Freiburg on 8 Nov. In the home games in that spell they collected 5 points from 5. They failed to score in 4.

RB Leipzig have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 recorded matches, scoring in 10 and conceding in 5 of them (2.9 scored and 1.4 conceded per game). Their latest result was a 5–2 home win over Augsburg on 7 Nov. In the away games in that spell they collected 9 points from 5. They kept 5 clean sheets.

Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of 10 recent games for Union Berlin and 8 of 10 for RB Leipzig; both teams scored in 5 and 5 respectively. Both sides have been involved in open, high-scoring games lately.

Our prediction model leans toward Over 2, giving it a 63% confidence rating based on our analysis of form, odds movement and head-to-head trends.