SM Caen vs FC Rouen Prediction, Head-to-Head & Betting Tips

SM Caen host FC Rouen in France. Ligue 3 action on September 24th, 2026 , kicking off at 18:45 UTC at Stade Michel d'Ornano. Early markets have this one finely balanced between the two sides.

Taking the bookmaker margin out of the prices (2.60 / 3.25 / 2.60), the market implies roughly 36% for a SM Caen win, 29% for a draw and 36% for a FC Rouen win.

SM Caen have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, scoring in 3 and conceding in 3 of them (2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded per game). Their latest result was a 0–2 away defeat to US Concarneau on 19 Sep. In the home games in that spell they collected 9 points from 4.

FC Rouen have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 6 recorded matches, scoring in 5 and conceding in 2 of them (1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded per game). Their latest result was a 1–0 home win over SC Aubagne Air Bel on 19 Sep. They are unbeaten in their last 6. In the away games in that spell they collected 9 points from 3. They kept 4 clean sheets.

Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of 5 recent games for SM Caen and 2 of 6 for FC Rouen; both teams scored in 1 and 2 respectively. Their recent goal trends are mixed.

Our prediction model leans toward 1X, giving it a 53% confidence rating based on our analysis of form, odds movement and head-to-head trends.