SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia Prediction, Head-to-Head & Betting Tips

SE Palmeiras host EC Bahia in Brazil. Brasileiro Serie A action on October 9th, 2026 , kicking off at 00:30 UTC at Nubank Parque. The bookmakers make SE Palmeiras favourites, priced around 1.58 to win.

Taking the bookmaker margin out of the prices (1.58 / 4.30 / 5.40), the market implies roughly 60% for a SE Palmeiras win, 22% for a draw and 18% for a EC Bahia win.

SE Palmeiras have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 recorded matches, scoring in 7 and conceding in 5 of them (1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded per game). Their latest result was a 0–0 away draw with Gremio FB Porto Alegrense on 20 Sep. They have drawn each of their last 4 matches. In the home games in that spell they collected 10 points from 4. They kept 5 clean sheets. They failed to score in 3.

EC Bahia have won 0, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 6 recorded matches, scoring in 3 and conceding in 4 of them (0.5 scored and 0.7 conceded per game). Their latest result was a 1–1 home draw with SE Palmeiras on 1 Sep. They have drawn each of their last 3 matches. In the away games in that spell they collected 1 points from 2. They failed to score in 3.

Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of 10 recent games for SE Palmeiras and 0 of 6 for EC Bahia; both teams scored in 5 and 3 respectively. Their recent goal trends are mixed. Their most recent meeting in our records, on 1 Sep 2026, finished EC Bahia 1–1 SE Palmeiras.

Our prediction model leans toward 1X, giving it a 87% confidence rating based on our analysis of form, odds movement and head-to-head trends.