Racing Club Montevideo vs CA Penarol Montevideo Prediction, Head-to-Head & Betting Tips

Racing Club Montevideo host CA Penarol Montevideo in Uruguay. Primera Division action on October 4th, 2026 , kicking off at 22:30 UTC at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto. The bookmakers make CA Penarol Montevideo favourites, priced around 2.05 to win.

Taking the bookmaker margin out of the prices (3.60 / 3.20 / 2.05), the market implies roughly 26% for a Racing Club Montevideo win, 29% for a draw and 45% for a CA Penarol Montevideo win.

Racing Club Montevideo have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, scoring in 4 and conceding in 4 of them (1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded per game). Their latest result was a 1–2 away defeat to CA Progreso on 26 Sep. In the home games in that spell they collected 6 points from 3.

CA Penarol Montevideo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 recorded matches, scoring in 3 and conceding in 3 of them (1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded per game). Their latest result was a 2–1 home win over CA Boston River on 26 Sep. In the away games in that spell they collected 4 points from 2.

Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of 5 recent games for Racing Club Montevideo and 2 of 3 for CA Penarol Montevideo; both teams scored in 3 and 3 respectively. Both sides have been involved in open, high-scoring games lately.

Our prediction model leans toward Over 0.5 Away, giving it a 60% confidence rating based on our analysis of form, odds movement and head-to-head trends.