Montevideo Wanderers vs CA Progreso Prediction, Head-to-Head & Betting Tips

Montevideo Wanderers host CA Progreso in Uruguay. Primera Division action on October 25th, 2026 , kicking off at 13:00 UTC at Estadio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera. The bookmakers make Montevideo Wanderers favourites, priced around 2.15 to win.

Taking the bookmaker margin out of the prices (2.15 / 3.25 / 3.25), the market implies roughly 43% for a Montevideo Wanderers win, 28% for a draw and 28% for a CA Progreso win.

Montevideo Wanderers have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 recorded matches, scoring in 4 and conceding in 3 of them (1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded per game). Their latest result was a 1–3 home defeat to CA Boston River on 10 Oct. In the home games in that spell they collected 1 points from 2.

CA Progreso have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 8 recorded matches, scoring in 5 and conceding in 6 of them (0.9 scored and 1.0 conceded per game). Their latest result was a 2–1 home win over Racing Club Montevideo on 26 Sep. In the away games in that spell they collected 6 points from 4. They failed to score in 3.

Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of 4 recent games for Montevideo Wanderers and 3 of 8 for CA Progreso; both teams scored in 3 and 3 respectively. Their recent goal trends are mixed.

Our prediction model leans toward 1X, giving it a 55% confidence rating based on our analysis of form, odds movement and head-to-head trends.