Maritimo Madeira vs Porto Prediction, Head-to-Head & Betting Tips

Maritimo Madeira host Porto in Portugal. Liga Portugal action on October 10th, 2026 , kicking off at 17:00 UTC at Estadio do Maritimo. The bookmakers make Porto favourites, priced around 1.36 to win.

Taking the bookmaker margin out of the prices (9.65 / 5.25 / 1.36), the market implies roughly 10% for a Maritimo Madeira win, 19% for a draw and 71% for a Porto win.

Maritimo Madeira have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 recorded matches, scoring in 4 and conceding in 3 of them (1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded per game). Their latest result was a 1–1 away draw with Gil Vicente Barcelos on 19 Sep. In the home games in that spell they collected 3 points from 1.

Porto have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 8 recorded matches, scoring in 8 and conceding in 4 of them (2.3 scored and 0.5 conceded per game). Their latest result was a 3–1 away win over RC Deportivo de A Coruna on 2 Oct. They have won each of their last 8 matches. In the away games in that spell they collected 9 points from 3. They kept 4 clean sheets.

Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of 4 recent games for Maritimo Madeira and 5 of 8 for Porto; both teams scored in 3 and 4 respectively. Their recent goal trends are mixed.

Our prediction model leans toward 2, giving it a 70% confidence rating based on our analysis of form, odds movement and head-to-head trends.